ind_game
05-15 09:53 AM
Hi ind_game,
For me, 1. I-140 approval in September, 2007 (actually 09/04/2009 as I have the hard copy) has typo. I think your 09/04/2009 should be 2007.
Please correct.
My apologies........Can I correct the thread message now........it looks I cannot.......anyway here is the updated....thanks ak_2006
Here is the scoop.
from US Congresswoman's office, an immigration specialist spoke to their liaison at the Nebraska Service Center.
Liaison confirmed the following:
1. I-140 approval in September, 2007 (actually 09/04/2007 as I have the hard copy)
2. I-140 revocation in Feb, 2009 ( he has not provided the day of the month, but from LUD I have it strongly pointing to 02/03/2009)
I have not told the Congresswoman's office about the I-140 revocation. Just mentioned that it might have happened as I have left the company.
3. Liaison did confirm that even after the I-140 being withdrawn I am eligible for adjustment thru AC21.
4. Liaison did agree that if the I-140 was revoked within the stipulated time given in AC21, Nebraska�s decision to deny the I-485 may have been in error. (which in my case is true)
Immigration specialist at the Congresswoman's office is going to contact the Director of NSC to review this matter with a supervisor
Unanswered questions:
1. If the Liaison can see that my I-140 is approved on 09/04/2007, why is that the adjudicating officer is responding with a denial on 09/04/2007 and subsequent denial of I-485?
2. Are they both not looking at my information with same interface?
Conclusion:
Atleast in my case it looks deliberate and intentional.
For me, 1. I-140 approval in September, 2007 (actually 09/04/2009 as I have the hard copy) has typo. I think your 09/04/2009 should be 2007.
Please correct.
My apologies........Can I correct the thread message now........it looks I cannot.......anyway here is the updated....thanks ak_2006
Here is the scoop.
from US Congresswoman's office, an immigration specialist spoke to their liaison at the Nebraska Service Center.
Liaison confirmed the following:
1. I-140 approval in September, 2007 (actually 09/04/2007 as I have the hard copy)
2. I-140 revocation in Feb, 2009 ( he has not provided the day of the month, but from LUD I have it strongly pointing to 02/03/2009)
I have not told the Congresswoman's office about the I-140 revocation. Just mentioned that it might have happened as I have left the company.
3. Liaison did confirm that even after the I-140 being withdrawn I am eligible for adjustment thru AC21.
4. Liaison did agree that if the I-140 was revoked within the stipulated time given in AC21, Nebraska�s decision to deny the I-485 may have been in error. (which in my case is true)
Immigration specialist at the Congresswoman's office is going to contact the Director of NSC to review this matter with a supervisor
Unanswered questions:
1. If the Liaison can see that my I-140 is approved on 09/04/2007, why is that the adjudicating officer is responding with a denial on 09/04/2007 and subsequent denial of I-485?
2. Are they both not looking at my information with same interface?
Conclusion:
Atleast in my case it looks deliberate and intentional.
wallpaper That#39;s when we know our cake
Milind123
09-17 02:18 PM
I will be leaving for DC in a couple of hours. Need to pack, get gas tank full, and decide what clothes to iron and ton of other mundane things. Thanks a lot to all those people who participated in this 401K round. If you found these shots, guns and jokes etc. amusing, thank you for your support. If you think it was silly, I appreciate you, for keeping those thoughts private.
So here is my final shot for all the people who contributed for the first time, those who contributed again, to all those who were motivated, to all those who were amused and most of all to the people who are going to DC.
$100 Order Details - Sep 17, 2007 2:20 PM EDT Google Order #348908840140049
I usually don�t share my private life. But just to let you know, I postponed my foot surgery on Friday so I can attend this rally. (First and last time on this thread to send some people on a teeny-weeny guilt trip). People under going heart surgery and people who tend to look at the roof (Ref. My previous post) are excused from this guilt trip.
Still a few shots left to be fired to finish this final round. You all know the reasons for taking those shots.
Adios. See you in DC.
P.S I will remove my signature after all the shots are fired.
So here is my final shot for all the people who contributed for the first time, those who contributed again, to all those who were motivated, to all those who were amused and most of all to the people who are going to DC.
$100 Order Details - Sep 17, 2007 2:20 PM EDT Google Order #348908840140049
I usually don�t share my private life. But just to let you know, I postponed my foot surgery on Friday so I can attend this rally. (First and last time on this thread to send some people on a teeny-weeny guilt trip). People under going heart surgery and people who tend to look at the roof (Ref. My previous post) are excused from this guilt trip.
Still a few shots left to be fired to finish this final round. You all know the reasons for taking those shots.
Adios. See you in DC.
P.S I will remove my signature after all the shots are fired.
learning01
03-16 01:34 PM
I agree with your partial disagreement. It's all about Group Dynamics. You know what I mean. Forming, Storming, Norming (settle at common goals, workable strategies etc) and Performing. While it is feasible that all these can proceed parallely, full impact of the group and hence its achieving its goals will happen when these steps are followed quickly and serially.
It is their country and immigration laws and procedures are their concern. They will agree to discuss today and settle to vote after next elections. That's my concern. That's where I said, informing/ just writing to your own employers is enough. These companies, our employers are to a large extent gentlemen. I have a feel that most of them take this FYI / petition seriously. And they will do something about it. Trust me.
I will agree with you partially, you're right, big corporates can make a difference, but I said partially because I feel we are more powerful than the corporates. Look at the numbers, inspite of atleast 350,000 applications stuck in Labor Backlogs & other 200,000 people waiting to file their adjustment of status, we just have 1200 members. So there are only 1-2 % people who thinks they or their fellow citizens can do something. If even 20% of this population start making noise, you'll have a different opinion...
It is their country and immigration laws and procedures are their concern. They will agree to discuss today and settle to vote after next elections. That's my concern. That's where I said, informing/ just writing to your own employers is enough. These companies, our employers are to a large extent gentlemen. I have a feel that most of them take this FYI / petition seriously. And they will do something about it. Trust me.
I will agree with you partially, you're right, big corporates can make a difference, but I said partially because I feel we are more powerful than the corporates. Look at the numbers, inspite of atleast 350,000 applications stuck in Labor Backlogs & other 200,000 people waiting to file their adjustment of status, we just have 1200 members. So there are only 1-2 % people who thinks they or their fellow citizens can do something. If even 20% of this population start making noise, you'll have a different opinion...
2011 14th+irthday+cakes+for+
Libra
09-12 12:35 PM
thank you ravi for contribution, hope to see you in DC.
more...
vayumahesh
11-16 08:04 AM
Update. My attorney has sent a letter (interfiling process) to USCIS mentioning that my case is current now. One of my friends got 485 approved within 2 weeks after initiating interfiling process. I hope it would be the same case with me.
vayumahesh
01-10 11:36 AM
Finally a happy ending to my green card journey. Received our cards on Saturday. Thank You IV and I wish all the best for everyone.
more...
AllVNeedGcPc
04-17 09:44 AM
Enjoy these moments.
Please when ever you get some time can you answer couple of my questions.
1) Where do you send emails to "NSCFollowup and EBUpdate"? Please can you PM me these email addresses?
2) Do we need a separate explicit official Interfile Request, even if original PD and A# have already been retained in new 140?
Here's my journey so far.
1. Initial labor
a. Filed - July 19th 2003 (4 years BE Software Engineering and 2 years Masters Computer Science in US) Filed as Software Engineer
b. Approved - June 2006, but BEC put NOC as Mechanical Engineer. Took a year to get it fixed back to Software Engineer
2. EB3 I140 (NSC)
a. Filed - July 2nd 2007
b. Approved - 2008
3. I485 (NSC)
a. Filed - July 2nd 2007
b. RFE - April 2009 (EVL for me and visa history for my wife)
4. Perm
a. Same Fortune 500 company for 10 years (By 2010, was promoted multiple times and moved to a different role)
b. Filed - Oct 2010 (No experience used only MS)
c. Approved - Dec 2011
5. EB2 I140 (TSC)
a. Filed - Jan 2011, Premium Processing
b. Approved - Jan 2011 (original A# and Priority Date retained)
6. Interfiling
a. Feb 2011 - Created a SR requesting the status of I485. Got a reply saying the category my 485 was applied is not current yet
b. Feb 2011 - Lawyer said that as my old A# and PD was already used on new 140, so that means that it has automatically been interfiled, now we do not need to do anything. But said will still send a reminder
c. March 2011 - Went for an Infopass Appointment (Useless in my opinion too) They said as your 140 is in TSC and 485 is in NSC that is why its taking time and they don't know how much more time will it take
d. April 2011 - Contacted Senator and got a reply that they have contacted NSC and will let us know their response as soon as they get one
e. Waiting again...
I have always been a passive reader of this post and multiple other similar posts. It helped me a lot and I thought sharing my positive porting experience will help/encourage others. Below are details of my long journey
1. Initial labor
a. Filed - July 8 2003 (no masters, no 5 years, Title: Systems Analyst)
b. Approved - August 31 2006
2. EB3 I140 (NSC)
a. Filed - October 11 2006
b. Approved - April 6 2007
3. I485 (NSC)
a. Filed - July 19 2007
b. RFE - April 2009 (Birth Certificate related for me and Medical related for my wife)
4. Perm
a. Same company. By 2011, I was promoted multiple times and currently managing multiple projects. Every H1b that was approved after 2003 clearly showed the growth and the promotion on the job title and salary.
b. Filed - Feb 9 2011 (Progressive growth within the same company, Title: Project Director)
c. Approved - Feb 15 2011
5. EB2 I140 (TSC)
a. Filed - March 9 2011, Premium Processing
b. Approved - March 21 2011 (A# and Priority Date retained)
6. Interfiling
a. March 24 2011 - Created a SR requesting the process I485 using the new EB2 140
b. March 29 2011 - Lawyer sent the official Interfile Request
c. April 5 2011 - Contacted both the senators and congressman. They were very prompt in responding back. Also sent emails to NSCFollowup and EBUpdate.
d. April 7 2011 - Went for an Infopass Appointment (Useless in my opinion)
e. April 14 2011 - Got the magic email at 9:15pm for both me and my wife. One of the happiest days in my life.
f. Waiting on the physical cards to take a long break :)
Wish the very best to everyone else waiting on the GC line.
Please when ever you get some time can you answer couple of my questions.
1) Where do you send emails to "NSCFollowup and EBUpdate"? Please can you PM me these email addresses?
2) Do we need a separate explicit official Interfile Request, even if original PD and A# have already been retained in new 140?
Here's my journey so far.
1. Initial labor
a. Filed - July 19th 2003 (4 years BE Software Engineering and 2 years Masters Computer Science in US) Filed as Software Engineer
b. Approved - June 2006, but BEC put NOC as Mechanical Engineer. Took a year to get it fixed back to Software Engineer
2. EB3 I140 (NSC)
a. Filed - July 2nd 2007
b. Approved - 2008
3. I485 (NSC)
a. Filed - July 2nd 2007
b. RFE - April 2009 (EVL for me and visa history for my wife)
4. Perm
a. Same Fortune 500 company for 10 years (By 2010, was promoted multiple times and moved to a different role)
b. Filed - Oct 2010 (No experience used only MS)
c. Approved - Dec 2011
5. EB2 I140 (TSC)
a. Filed - Jan 2011, Premium Processing
b. Approved - Jan 2011 (original A# and Priority Date retained)
6. Interfiling
a. Feb 2011 - Created a SR requesting the status of I485. Got a reply saying the category my 485 was applied is not current yet
b. Feb 2011 - Lawyer said that as my old A# and PD was already used on new 140, so that means that it has automatically been interfiled, now we do not need to do anything. But said will still send a reminder
c. March 2011 - Went for an Infopass Appointment (Useless in my opinion too) They said as your 140 is in TSC and 485 is in NSC that is why its taking time and they don't know how much more time will it take
d. April 2011 - Contacted Senator and got a reply that they have contacted NSC and will let us know their response as soon as they get one
e. Waiting again...
I have always been a passive reader of this post and multiple other similar posts. It helped me a lot and I thought sharing my positive porting experience will help/encourage others. Below are details of my long journey
1. Initial labor
a. Filed - July 8 2003 (no masters, no 5 years, Title: Systems Analyst)
b. Approved - August 31 2006
2. EB3 I140 (NSC)
a. Filed - October 11 2006
b. Approved - April 6 2007
3. I485 (NSC)
a. Filed - July 19 2007
b. RFE - April 2009 (Birth Certificate related for me and Medical related for my wife)
4. Perm
a. Same company. By 2011, I was promoted multiple times and currently managing multiple projects. Every H1b that was approved after 2003 clearly showed the growth and the promotion on the job title and salary.
b. Filed - Feb 9 2011 (Progressive growth within the same company, Title: Project Director)
c. Approved - Feb 15 2011
5. EB2 I140 (TSC)
a. Filed - March 9 2011, Premium Processing
b. Approved - March 21 2011 (A# and Priority Date retained)
6. Interfiling
a. March 24 2011 - Created a SR requesting the process I485 using the new EB2 140
b. March 29 2011 - Lawyer sent the official Interfile Request
c. April 5 2011 - Contacted both the senators and congressman. They were very prompt in responding back. Also sent emails to NSCFollowup and EBUpdate.
d. April 7 2011 - Went for an Infopass Appointment (Useless in my opinion)
e. April 14 2011 - Got the magic email at 9:15pm for both me and my wife. One of the happiest days in my life.
f. Waiting on the physical cards to take a long break :)
Wish the very best to everyone else waiting on the GC line.
2010 14th birthday cake.
pcs
07-05 10:57 AM
We need to have sticky & web fax on this issue
more...
eb3_nepa
07-16 12:47 AM
Common people just $150 short. Pacific time people. Please help. We need 30 good souls from the West coast :)
hair Cameron 14th birthday cake
srgadi
07-15 08:46 PM
Done. $10 for the two of us :)
more...
dpp
07-20 01:17 PM
H1Bs taken care by California and Vermont centers. 485, 131 and 765 are handled by Nebraska and Texas centers.
Also, Nebraska is big and main center. They know how to handle load.
Here are the EAD statistics (real numbers):
Year Total received Approved
2000 1,451,527 1,325,840
2001 1,813,479 1,698,448
2002 1,745,976 1,573,842
2003 2,156,095 1,977,344
2004 1,640,703 1,694,623
2005 1,744,961 1,541,531
2006 1,462,583 1,188,770
By seeing above numbers, you can see how USCIS handles load of millions of EAD applications every year. so, 600K is not a surprise for them. In 2003, they got more 2 million applications, but they handled well. But it may be take one or two months extra, i.e. 3+2 = 5 months maximum to get your EAD. Thats for sure. They will be prepared for that when you they allow us to file.
If you already applied for EAD now, then you will for sure have a EAD by December.
Not trying to be pessimitic her but any new hires will need to be trained, and infrastructure need to be set up. All these things do not happen overnight.
There are dependancies. I-485 information needs to be entered in the system and A # on I-140 need to be crosschecked. If one is not available already then it needs to be generated. In any case, 5 minutes per EAD is still a conservative figure.
All these add to the time.
Also, due to H-1B pile (65 K +20 K+15K= 100K cases pending), this may not take priorty and resources may be diverted.
Also, Nebraska is big and main center. They know how to handle load.
Here are the EAD statistics (real numbers):
Year Total received Approved
2000 1,451,527 1,325,840
2001 1,813,479 1,698,448
2002 1,745,976 1,573,842
2003 2,156,095 1,977,344
2004 1,640,703 1,694,623
2005 1,744,961 1,541,531
2006 1,462,583 1,188,770
By seeing above numbers, you can see how USCIS handles load of millions of EAD applications every year. so, 600K is not a surprise for them. In 2003, they got more 2 million applications, but they handled well. But it may be take one or two months extra, i.e. 3+2 = 5 months maximum to get your EAD. Thats for sure. They will be prepared for that when you they allow us to file.
If you already applied for EAD now, then you will for sure have a EAD by December.
Not trying to be pessimitic her but any new hires will need to be trained, and infrastructure need to be set up. All these things do not happen overnight.
There are dependancies. I-485 information needs to be entered in the system and A # on I-140 need to be crosschecked. If one is not available already then it needs to be generated. In any case, 5 minutes per EAD is still a conservative figure.
All these add to the time.
Also, due to H-1B pile (65 K +20 K+15K= 100K cases pending), this may not take priorty and resources may be diverted.
hot 14th Birthday Cake
skv
06-20 01:13 PM
Mine was filed in Feb 07. My lawyer has opened an inquiry and its pending too
I feel sorry for you, it shouldn't take that long. I don't know what the hell it's going on at Atlanta PERM center.
If we miss the boat this time, it's going to be tough.
I feel sorry for you, it shouldn't take that long. I don't know what the hell it's going on at Atlanta PERM center.
If we miss the boat this time, it's going to be tough.
more...
house 14th Birthday Cake For A Boy
peyton sawyer
07-23 02:13 AM
Hi chisinau..
It's destiny that I came across your posting.. like you, I am an RN waiting for the DS230 approval also since Oct.2006.. believe it or not ,I was also informed by the NVC to resubmit a new DS230 because the previous one I submitted last year was already outdated. Now, I sent them the updated DS230 last June 27,2007.
I really want to ask if in your opinion, or if you have some positive information regarding this…do we still have a chance of receiving an embassy interview and medical exam schedule before October 2007?
I would really appreciate a response.. thank you
It's destiny that I came across your posting.. like you, I am an RN waiting for the DS230 approval also since Oct.2006.. believe it or not ,I was also informed by the NVC to resubmit a new DS230 because the previous one I submitted last year was already outdated. Now, I sent them the updated DS230 last June 27,2007.
I really want to ask if in your opinion, or if you have some positive information regarding this…do we still have a chance of receiving an embassy interview and medical exam schedule before October 2007?
I would really appreciate a response.. thank you
tattoo irthday cake “for” Megumi
jsquare
02-21 09:27 AM
Friends,
I have couple of questions...
My employer has filed my Labor from Georgia state...
So in which bpc my case should exists??
What is 45-days letter as I have read so many times in this forum??
My cas received date Oct 10 2004, is this Priority date??
I would appriciate proper answers
Thanks
Jsquare
I have couple of questions...
My employer has filed my Labor from Georgia state...
So in which bpc my case should exists??
What is 45-days letter as I have read so many times in this forum??
My cas received date Oct 10 2004, is this Priority date??
I would appriciate proper answers
Thanks
Jsquare
more...
pictures their 14th birthday.
nave_kum
07-22 02:40 PM
There's no logic whatsoever in these calculations. Somebody is spending unnecessary time in his room to come up with such analogies.
First of all, all of this is sheer assumptions. Secondly...oh forget it who cares...why waste OUR time on this blog at all?
Guyz...all I can say is...v have opened USCIS' eyes and they're determined to improve the process. Things will start happening ...Just wait N watch. Go watch a movie or something!!!
P.S: Patience Pays....Always!!!:)
First of all, all of this is sheer assumptions. Secondly...oh forget it who cares...why waste OUR time on this blog at all?
Guyz...all I can say is...v have opened USCIS' eyes and they're determined to improve the process. Things will start happening ...Just wait N watch. Go watch a movie or something!!!
P.S: Patience Pays....Always!!!:)
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vparam
09-14 03:36 AM
Just can't work for it without a H1B... :)
jazz
If you have a EAD then you need not have a H1B to work for your own LLC...
jazz
If you have a EAD then you need not have a H1B to work for your own LLC...
more...
makeup 14th birthday cake. pooh
senthil1
08-13 09:55 PM
The following are the reason for Eb3 situation.
Anyone who have 3 year or 4 year degree can apply. So Other country also there is a demand. So it is nearly impossible to get other country quota. For a few thousand green cards atleast 100k persons might have applied till 2008 in EB3. So there is not much chance for improvement. It may move a few months to 2 years in 2009.If some bill is passed then most persons will get relief. But still some chances for recapture bill in house. But the reaction at Senate to be seen. Next year they may give a best attempt for CIR so that Congressmen will get a chance to do overtime also for hot news in Media. As usual CIR is unpredictable at best.
I think they are talking about EB3 Mexico... Doesn't make any sense for EB3-India as it has already been unavailable.. so what does heavy load signifies... I am positive EB3-I will open up... may be more retrogressed than last availability.. but it will be available on Oct 1...
Anyone who have 3 year or 4 year degree can apply. So Other country also there is a demand. So it is nearly impossible to get other country quota. For a few thousand green cards atleast 100k persons might have applied till 2008 in EB3. So there is not much chance for improvement. It may move a few months to 2 years in 2009.If some bill is passed then most persons will get relief. But still some chances for recapture bill in house. But the reaction at Senate to be seen. Next year they may give a best attempt for CIR so that Congressmen will get a chance to do overtime also for hot news in Media. As usual CIR is unpredictable at best.
I think they are talking about EB3 Mexico... Doesn't make any sense for EB3-India as it has already been unavailable.. so what does heavy load signifies... I am positive EB3-I will open up... may be more retrogressed than last availability.. but it will be available on Oct 1...
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pappu
06-04 02:11 PM
It is really tricky to come up with a deadline for EB employment. US is set of laws and the law is same for every one it applies. for example:If you not from a retrogressed country you will get your GC even if you start now (before enactment of this bill).
Please know the difference between bill and law. If ever this particular bill becomes law the deadline for any cases filed under previous law will not be rejected, this is as clear as mud, to make the law same for all who applied/pending /approved on the day of enactment!!.:eek:
You can refer to other lawyer's interpretations of the bill and also ask your own lawyer for more information and to better understand the harm this bill does to us.
Please know the difference between bill and law. If ever this particular bill becomes law the deadline for any cases filed under previous law will not be rejected, this is as clear as mud, to make the law same for all who applied/pending /approved on the day of enactment!!.:eek:
You can refer to other lawyer's interpretations of the bill and also ask your own lawyer for more information and to better understand the harm this bill does to us.
hairstyles 14th+irthday+cakes+for+
immm
07-19 12:32 AM
This seems very unfair to people who had earlier PDs (2004 & 2005) and who have waited so many years to file. Now, people with PDs in 2007 will jump ahead of them in the queue just because of this fiasco, juts because they filed earlier. :confused:
Talk about earlier PD's. Mine is March, 2002!! It would be disheartning to see people with PD's of 2004/2005 getting a visa number because they got the receipt number a couple of days before I did while I waited for all these years for the visa bulletin dates to move!!
And I bet that there are people from 2002/2003 still stuck at BEC's who might get labor and I-140 approved in a few months to find out they are at the end of the queue and would have to wait few more years because the dates might retrogress!!
I wish the USCIS would sort all applications by PD after August, 17th. But looking at their "Processing times" page, they seem to go by the receipt dates:
https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtimes.jsp?SeviceCenter=NSC
Talk about earlier PD's. Mine is March, 2002!! It would be disheartning to see people with PD's of 2004/2005 getting a visa number because they got the receipt number a couple of days before I did while I waited for all these years for the visa bulletin dates to move!!
And I bet that there are people from 2002/2003 still stuck at BEC's who might get labor and I-140 approved in a few months to find out they are at the end of the queue and would have to wait few more years because the dates might retrogress!!
I wish the USCIS would sort all applications by PD after August, 17th. But looking at their "Processing times" page, they seem to go by the receipt dates:
https://egov.uscis.gov/cris/jsps/Processtimes.jsp?SeviceCenter=NSC
HopeSprings
12-16 02:35 PM
I have been intending to post this for a while: I still have major doubts on the predictions made by DOS. We all are grateful to them to at least do an effort to provide such predictions, but things don't add up.
It is everyone's understanding that these predictions are based on the information about "preadjudicated applications" from USCIS. Now if you look at the total number of preadjudicated applications from what USCIS has published, it seems that PD (for EB2 India) will move to at least to 2007 if not 2008 by the end of fiscal year 2010. There are no new 485 filings (except for EB1 and EB2 ROW) and unless there is a "HUGE" increase in these categories, there is no other way to explain the basis for these predictions.
Someone else mentioned in this thread about the large number of filings in 2005 due to PERM, but remember, this should already be accounted for in USCIS's preadjudicated numbers.
So either these DOS predictions are some form of scare technique, or too much conservative estimate (so as not to disappoint people) or there is a missing piece of information that we have no clue about.
In any case, I do not claim to be a "better predictor" than DOS; but reality is that all these are pedictions and we have to wait till July-Sept 2010 to find out the truth.
Hoping for the best....:)
I agree with you. I think USCIS has made a conservative estimate, most likely, based on past spillover numbers. However, situation is little different this time. With the bad economy, there were less number of PERM applications filed in FY2009 that will claim visa numbers in FY2010. Also, with DOL taking ages to approve new PERM applications, there will be less applicants, that filed PERM this FY, claiming visa number. Thus, there will be lot more spillover this time than previous years. IV has taken this into consideration while doing its math but we cannot expect the same from USCIS. I think EB2I should at least move till mid if not till 2008.
It is everyone's understanding that these predictions are based on the information about "preadjudicated applications" from USCIS. Now if you look at the total number of preadjudicated applications from what USCIS has published, it seems that PD (for EB2 India) will move to at least to 2007 if not 2008 by the end of fiscal year 2010. There are no new 485 filings (except for EB1 and EB2 ROW) and unless there is a "HUGE" increase in these categories, there is no other way to explain the basis for these predictions.
Someone else mentioned in this thread about the large number of filings in 2005 due to PERM, but remember, this should already be accounted for in USCIS's preadjudicated numbers.
So either these DOS predictions are some form of scare technique, or too much conservative estimate (so as not to disappoint people) or there is a missing piece of information that we have no clue about.
In any case, I do not claim to be a "better predictor" than DOS; but reality is that all these are pedictions and we have to wait till July-Sept 2010 to find out the truth.
Hoping for the best....:)
I agree with you. I think USCIS has made a conservative estimate, most likely, based on past spillover numbers. However, situation is little different this time. With the bad economy, there were less number of PERM applications filed in FY2009 that will claim visa numbers in FY2010. Also, with DOL taking ages to approve new PERM applications, there will be less applicants, that filed PERM this FY, claiming visa number. Thus, there will be lot more spillover this time than previous years. IV has taken this into consideration while doing its math but we cannot expect the same from USCIS. I think EB2I should at least move till mid if not till 2008.
needhelp!
09-11 01:28 PM
superbabu, sundarpn, vaccine, pcjandyala, ramprabhum
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